In its raw form, the power is above average on the overall major-league scale. However, he can be successful just being a very good hitter and not a very good hitter with power. But Smith’s approach is far too passive to be effective, to an extent that is matched only by his energy level on the field. Just below him you have Rowdy Tellez (arguably the best raw power of his class), Zack Collins (reminds me of a bigger, more athletic Mike Napoli), and Corey Simpson (like Collins, he also catches). Additionally, his overall passive nature as a player carries over to his approach in the batter’s box, bordering on the lackadaisical and rendering him currently ineffective. They share playing time in Arizona, and both are getting rave reviews from scouts. DefenseSmith has the throwing arm of a pitcher that can hit the mid-90s with his fastball. This is rarely been a more prevalent question in a player evaluation for me than it has been with Smith. Create a website or blog at WordPress.com, on Projecting the First Round: MLB Draft 2013 First Base Prospects, Projecting the First Round: MLB Draft 2013 First Base Prospects, “as much raw power as anyone in the draft”, “regularly touching 95 mph off the mound”. Drafted in the 1st round (11th overall) by the New York Mets in 2013 (signed for $2,600,000). In fact, it’s not even close. Tremendous piece. That’s a major concern for a teenager. How old is this player? When Smith's power emerges and when he ascends to the big league club are the questions remaining concerning this top prospect's future. Smith's other plus tool is his defense at first base, where he has soft hands, quick feet and great instincts. It’s these kinds of at-bats—not ones where a pitcher just makes a good pitch or when a good swing is put on the ball and contact is just missed—but the completely un-competitive at-bats that make me begin to second guess the present relevance of past reports. Smith may have the best overall hitting mechanics in this year's edition of the Arizona Fall League. Obsessively Following the MLB Draft Since 2009, 17 Nov 2012 11:54 AM / 2 Comments on Projecting the First Round: MLB Draft 2013 First Base Prospects. I recently spoke to one of Smith’s biggest fans in the scouting community who told me, all developmental caveats understood, Smith’s realistic big league floor is Adam LaRoche. The question then is: How much we should consider that background in an evaluation, and to what extent? Smith has the tools, the discipline, the confidence, the makeup and the attitude of a winner. He has the athletic ability, range and agility to play quality first base. Enough looks to feel comfortable writing a report on a player still may only consist of 20 in-game at-bats or so and a few rounds of batting practice. All rights reserved. May 19, 2015. outside the fence than teammates on the field; in games he's frequently questioning umpire calls, rolling eyes, etc. A scouting report is a snapshot in time. I find this interestingSmith is part of Major League Baseball's Urban Youth Academy and Reviving Baseball in Inner Cities programs. That’s crazy, right? It is a picture of a player’s abilities, both of what the present shows us and what we can expect him to look like in the future. If he makes the necessary adjustments, he could turn into an slightly average major-league hitter in the Yonder Alonso mold, though that would still lead to him being no better than average on the first base spectrum. In addition to LaRoche, I’ve also independently heard Larry Walker and the non-2001 version of Luis Gonzalez mentioned, though in each instance the players discussed were only done so in terms of ceiling. Browse Icon Sportswire for more incredible images of Dominic Smith. We certainly can’t write him off completely, and a bad report today is hardly a death sentence. He does not look to drive the ball, nor does he embrace the role of being a run producer, something which he will need to adjust as he is destined for a first base position where his bat will have to carry him. Jeff Moore. Smith still wastes at-bats. And more importantly in this case, for how long? 4.4-4.5 home to first base. And given that his struggles can be outlined by exactly the same flaws that were mentioned in his extremely positive amateur reports, it makes it even less likely that he’s going to correct them any time soon. Full Scouting Report Note: Numerical scores are on the conventional 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average, with the current score first and projected score second. In fact, Smith's swing permits him to make barrel-of-the-bat contact. 1B: Nick Longhi, Rowdy Tellez, Zack Collins, DJ Peterson (4). Dominic Smith. None of this will be an issue if he produces. Or it could click in three years. To answer this, I return to the approach at the plate. With Jay Bruce on his way to Cleveland, the Mets have called up Dominic Smith to play first base for the remainder of the year. Solid athletic build, good present strength. Smith is ranked No. Schedule. Consistency is the name of his game (at all levels). That’s crazy, right? Background It's a bit ironic that both Dominic Smith of the Mets and Blue Jays first-base prospect Rowdy Tellez are playing for the Salt River Rafters in the Arizona Fall League. November 18, 2015. He can touch 90 mph off the mound, and his arm plays well at first base. The fix seems simple then, right? BackgroundIt's a bit ironic that both Dominic Smith of the Mets and Blue Jays first-base prospect Rowdy Tellez are playing for the Salt River Rafters in the Arizona Fall League. We’ve also seen positive signs in the past, and while we haven’t seen it in games as a professional, we know the talent is there, which is more than we can say about many prospects. Maxed out physically, already filled out; has gone from muscular and trim last year to softer and more full throughout his body this season; no room for growth, only progress physically would be to trim down; body isn't a concern now, but it could be an issue considering it's taken a step back and he's not yet 20. We try not to let these factors affect our evaluations, but this is a human endeavor and is thus subject to human flaws. As a fan it is disheartening. In his first real taste of failure, Smith seems to be continually trying the same thing, only to find the same unsuccessful results. Age (2014 season age): 19. Much of his future depends upon his power production. Consistency is the name of his game (at all levels). His passive mentality is well ingrained, and has been a known commodity since his amateur days. your password Video: Mets prospect Smith using his time in AFL to learn. That said, I still believe the power will come. Consistency is the name of his game (at all levels). A left-handed thrower, he can be used effectively in either corner of the outfield. the stuff he presently gets away with in college won’t work in the pros). Should the Mets need the versatility, I have little doubt Smith can also provide top quality outfield play. That said, I still believe the power will come. Love comps, hate comps, have no strong feelings either way towards comps…those names mentioned speak to what those in the business think about Smith’s upside with the stick. Problem solved. Smith isn’t alone when it comes to intriguing high school first base prospects. This won’t be the last report on Smith, by myself or anyone else, but for now, it paints a present picture of a player who has shown no signs of adjusting to the challenges of pro ball, and thus leaves me very concerned about his chances for future development.
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